EXPERT WITNESS TESTIMONY:
THE “IFs” AND THE “THENs”–
A CONTESTABLE HYPOTHESIS*
Sean Quinn, Ph.D, J.D., Etc.
Exposition Blvd #115
the same way. Almost all of them are “If-Then” sets of propositions that embody alleged
factual propositions at their foundation.
“If the facts are X, then my opinion is Y.”
personal knowledge of what the facts really are in a case in which they are testifying. They are not expected to know those facts. They are simply providing general knowledge, or what is thought to be knowledge, as applied to the facts in a given case.
Inside experts sometimes have actual personal empirical knowledge of a set of relevant facts, but almost never all of them. Thus, to some extent, inside experts function just like outside experts.
others the testimony of others, various documents, stipulations, and requests
that they assure that certain factual-looking propositions are true. Even if they have themselves performed experiments (or something of the sort),
they are still tied to the validity of those experiments and its applicability to
alleged facts. And it is unlikely that the experiments they perform
will have the same kind of scientific validity that experiments performed
repeatedly by many Ph.D.-types at distinguished universities or institutes.
opinion type testimony that says, “The following concrete and applied opinion is true no matter what empirical
propositions are true and no matter what the logic of the relationship among
the propositions stating facts” is false on its face. Often when an opinion falls in that category,
the absolutism of the opinion is hidden and not overtly asserted. Often those
factual propositions themselves actually depend on what a person asserts about
the fact and that introduces a second “If-Then” level. Often the “If-Then” inferences are obvious
and uncontested, so that that opinion and its formulation are all that
This idea applies especially to testimony of insurance bad faith matters–what is to be found in the “Then” basket. One of the main foci in such testimony is the performance of the participating adjusters and their conduct is, to a considerable extent, judged by established customary and reasonable patterns of adjusting along with the insurance contracts, applicable law, and facts to be found in the “If” bucket used by the expert.
Obviously, it is important for the expert to fill the “fact bucket with “the right facts,” objectively selected and what might be called the “true facts” to the extent possible. Facts to the contrary cannot be ignored or rejected out of hand. The ideal situation for an adjuster is where the opposing facts each supports his opinions. This happens more often than one might think.
Another blog will discuss how to classify different sets of facts. The categories should be kept straight in the mind of the expert, except where the categories overlap, and then she must be clear about the boundaries of the overlap.
*Perhaps it might be remembered that all hypotheses are contestable. That is what a hypothesis is, and one of the most important ways to think about whether a hypothesis is correct or false is to argue with it and try to falsify it. This could be called the proper Popper Principle.